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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.14+3.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.51vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+2.14vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.99vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-2.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79-2.81vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-1.22+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.63vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Cornell University1.1410.2%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.9%1st Place
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5.14Fordham University0.716.8%1st Place
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4.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.918.1%1st Place
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2.36Cornell University2.3836.9%1st Place
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3.19Cornell University1.7920.0%1st Place
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7.87SUNY Maritime College-1.221.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Pennsylvania1.169.4%1st Place
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7.31Princeton University-0.321.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Ava Gustafson | 10.2% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
Elizabeth Starck | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
Bridget Green | 36.9% | 26.0% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Sophia Devling | 20.0% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Eva Leggett | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 21.2% | 54.4% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
Carly Mraz | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 32.8% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.