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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+2.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+2.79vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35-0.65vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22-0.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-1.98vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.09+1.82vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.11-1.73vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.52-2.06vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.57-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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2.35Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.97George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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7.82Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.27Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.94Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.07Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 20.6% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.6% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 34.2% | 27.4% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cole Tillson | 20.4% | 23.0% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 24.7% | 21.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 8.7% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 25.5% | 24.9% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.