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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.34vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+1.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+0.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+0.88vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.09+2.79vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39-2.27vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.52+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.57-0.48vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-1.94vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.11-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Princeton University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.3Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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4.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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7.79Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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3.73George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.04Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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8.06Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.24Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 36.5% | 26.3% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 16.7% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 19.9% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 25.3% | 21.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 14.3% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 8.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 41.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 25.6% | 25.5% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.