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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+2.02vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.39+1.76vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35-0.65vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.52+3.02vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69-1.75vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.09+1.84vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.11-0.66vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.22+0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-4.21vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.57-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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3.76George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.35Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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7.02Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.25Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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7.84Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.34Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.04Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Tillson | 23.2% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 33.9% | 26.4% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 24.2% | 15.5% | 7.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 16.9% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 23.9% | 22.1% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 25.5% | 24.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.