Race 9A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Payne Donaldson 19.3% 18.7% 19.3% 17.8% 13.0% 7.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Joe Cooner 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.6% 6.8% 13.3% 21.8% 24.7% 21.0%
Cole Tillson 18.7% 21.3% 20.2% 19.4% 12.1% 5.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Kertatos 2.2% 3.9% 4.6% 7.2% 11.7% 19.3% 22.7% 15.1% 9.6% 3.7%
Patrick Cashin 2.0% 3.4% 4.0% 5.1% 7.7% 13.5% 18.2% 21.7% 16.9% 7.5%
Jedidiah Bechtel 15.3% 13.8% 17.2% 17.7% 17.6% 11.6% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 6.1% 6.8% 12.2% 14.5% 19.9% 20.4% 12.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Yanni Tsetsekos 0.5% 0.9% 2.0% 2.5% 5.6% 7.2% 13.3% 18.5% 24.2% 25.3%
Ethan Deutsch 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 4.9% 10.7% 14.0% 21.4% 42.1%
Connor Mraz 34.0% 29.0% 16.9% 11.0% 5.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.