Race 10A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cole Tillson 22.6% 21.7% 19.4% 15.0% 11.8% 6.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 17.0% 19.6% 20.3% 18.4% 13.9% 7.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 33.4% 27.5% 18.3% 12.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 6.5% 7.5% 10.8% 17.1% 21.0% 17.3% 11.8% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Jedidiah Bechtel 13.5% 14.3% 19.4% 17.9% 18.1% 10.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Patrick Cashin 1.9% 3.1% 3.1% 4.7% 8.2% 13.6% 20.7% 19.3% 15.2% 10.2%
Yanni Tsetsekos 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 3.5% 7.8% 13.3% 19.8% 24.6% 26.2%
Joe Cooner 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 5.1% 8.0% 15.3% 17.7% 27.8% 19.0%
Richard Kertatos 2.8% 3.3% 5.2% 7.1% 10.7% 19.6% 21.6% 17.2% 9.5% 3.0%
Ethan Deutsch 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 2.2% 2.3% 7.2% 8.9% 15.4% 21.0% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.