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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+2.21vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08-0.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-1.66vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.89-2.89vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-2.14-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.46-1.86vs Predicted
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10Villanova University-2.65-2.68vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-3.44-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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2.97Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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3.11George Washington University0.890.2%1st Place
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6.76Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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7.32Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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8.14Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 43.3% | 28.2% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 5.6% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 35.8% | 12.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 18.1% | 23.4% | 21.3% | 21.7% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 14.7% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 16.2% | 23.0% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 28.7% | 29.5% | 21.3% | 8.8% |
| Evan Walter | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 21.1% | 29.0% | 29.5% | 13.6% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 28.3% | 21.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.