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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+1.56vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.89+0.25vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08-1.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.01vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-2.14-1.26vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-2.65-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.46-2.88vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-3.44-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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3.25George Washington University0.890.2%1st Place
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2.84Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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6.74Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.37Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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8.11Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 43.7% | 27.8% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 9.1% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 26.9% | 19.8% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 15.1% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 19.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 21.1% | 22.7% | 24.1% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 9.0% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 30.2% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 29.4% | 30.0% | 20.8% | 8.2% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 17.1% | 24.2% | 33.1% | 19.6% |
| Evan Walter | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 21.3% | 28.1% | 24.4% | 17.6% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.