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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+1.56vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.89+0.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.01vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-3.11vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-3.44+0.13vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-2.65-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.46-2.89vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-2.14-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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3.23George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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2.89Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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8.13Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.39Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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6.71Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 44.6% | 26.8% | 17.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 9.1% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 26.1% | 19.8% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 14.6% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 33.2% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 20.8% | 24.7% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 54.4% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 16.5% | 24.5% | 31.7% | 21.2% |
| Evan Walter | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 21.3% | 28.2% | 26.2% | 15.8% |
| Ben Muchin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 29.3% | 30.5% | 20.1% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.