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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.89+1.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+1.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-0.66vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.08-4.09vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-2.65-0.37vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-2.14-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.46-2.54vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.08-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.4George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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2.91Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.63Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.09Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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6.98Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 44.5% | 26.9% | 16.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 10.5% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 31.1% | 14.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Hussey | 14.3% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 21.2% | 23.6% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 25.9% | 35.3% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 20.1% | 27.5% | 25.3% | 16.9% |
| Evan Walter | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 26.6% | 29.9% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 22.7% | 26.5% | 21.5% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.