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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+3.12vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+0.11vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+0.02vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.89-0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-1.63vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.65+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.46-1.51vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-2.08-3.02vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-2.14-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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2.11Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.02Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.2George Washington University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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7.66Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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6.98Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.06Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 31.8% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 40.1% | 28.4% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 19.6% | 20.0% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 15.8% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 13.3% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 26.1% | 36.0% |
| Evan Walter | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 27.0% | 29.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 22.7% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 17.0% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 21.1% | 25.8% | 25.2% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.