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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.30vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.30+1.64vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.22vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.91vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-0.26vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98-2.88vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.57+0.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-0.52vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.01-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7719.6%1st Place
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3.64Webb Institute1.3015.7%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Maritime College-0.023.5%1st Place
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3.09University of Pennsylvania1.7723.7%1st Place
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4.74Cornell University0.938.5%1st Place
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3.12Fordham University1.9821.4%1st Place
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7.15Princeton University-0.571.9%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.7%1st Place
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6.26Hamilton College0.014.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 19.6% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 15.7% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 12.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 23.7% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 21.4% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Roberts | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 24.8% | 31.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 41.7% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 21.9% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.