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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+0.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.18vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08-2.15vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.65+1.62vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.89-3.84vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.08-0.99vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-2.14-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.46-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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2.85Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.62Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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7.01Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.08Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 44.3% | 27.4% | 16.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 9.4% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 29.8% | 14.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 21.6% | 22.3% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 13.5% | 20.0% | 24.3% | 35.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 14.7% | 20.8% | 23.6% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 21.0% | 29.6% | 25.1% | 14.2% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 24.5% | 19.1% |
| Evan Walter | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 14.7% | 20.6% | 25.0% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.