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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.89+1.37vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08-0.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-0.64vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.08+0.95vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-2.88vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-2.14-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.46-2.56vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-2.65-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.37George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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2.99Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.2%1st Place
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6.95Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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7.09Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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7.68Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 43.0% | 29.4% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 11.9% | 19.7% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 19.5% | 20.0% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 15.1% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 19.5% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 23.1% | 26.3% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 28.9% | 14.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 19.9% | 28.2% | 25.7% | 16.6% |
| Evan Walter | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 27.8% | 28.6% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 24.6% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.