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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.89+1.38vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+0.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-1.62vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.65+0.62vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.08-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.46-1.54vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-2.14-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.38George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.02Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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7.62Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.01Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
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7.05Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 44.9% | 26.4% | 17.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 11.1% | 18.6% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 15.4% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 19.4% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 30.9% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 13.5% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 25.7% | 35.5% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 21.0% | 28.8% | 24.4% | 15.2% |
| Evan Walter | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 26.2% | 29.9% |
| Ben Muchin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 21.5% | 25.6% | 22.7% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.