← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.91+1.03vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.08+1.12vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+0.50vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University0.89-0.86vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-0.96vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-2.08-0.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-2.46-1.52vs Predicted
-
10Villanova University-2.65-2.33vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University-2.14-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.03Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
-
3.12Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
-
3.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
-
3.14George Washington University0.890.2%1st Place
-
4.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
-
6.98Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
-
7.48University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.67Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
-
7.04Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 43.7% | 26.8% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 15.7% | 21.1% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 12.3% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 23.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 17.2% | 19.4% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.5% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 26.2% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 22.8% | 26.1% | 23.7% | 15.8% |
| Evan Walter | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 28.4% | 27.8% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 38.5% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 21.7% | 26.3% | 23.5% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.