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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.02vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08+1.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.89+0.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-1.61vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-2.14+1.07vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.08-0.01vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-2.65-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.46-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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3.1Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.26George Washington University0.890.2%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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7.07Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.99Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.66Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 44.6% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 15.1% | 22.3% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 13.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 15.3% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 30.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 13.9% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Muchin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 20.7% | 26.5% | 23.9% | 18.0% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 22.4% | 28.4% | 22.6% | 15.9% |
| Ella Kilgore | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 24.9% | 37.6% |
| Evan Walter | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 27.5% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.