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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+2.16vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.48+0.70vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.21+0.01vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85-1.72vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.84vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.56-0.82vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.7Hampton University0.480.2%1st Place
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3.01William and Mary0.210.2%1st Place
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2.28Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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3.16Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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5.18Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.67American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 16.9% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 25.2% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 24.4% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 19.3% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 24.3% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 33.4% | 27.7% | 21.3% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.9% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 25.2% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 22.9% | 57.9% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 37.0% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.