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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+1.31vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+1.08vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.48-0.30vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.21-0.96vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.92vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.56-0.79vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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3.08Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.7Hampton University0.480.2%1st Place
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3.04William and Mary0.210.2%1st Place
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3.08Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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5.21Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.67American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 33.1% | 29.7% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 17.7% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 24.4% | 22.2% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 17.8% | 18.3% | 23.8% | 25.1% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 17.7% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 23.2% | 58.8% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 36.7% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.