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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+9.85vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+5.37vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+6.39vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+1.29vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+4.26vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98+3.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.50vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60+3.56vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.01+3.75vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-3.45vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.570.00vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.09+0.15vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.22-5.82vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.49-6.90vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-5.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.64vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.59-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.85Bowdoin College2.033.4%1st Place
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7.37Georgetown University2.408.0%1st Place
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9.39Jacksonville University2.104.5%1st Place
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5.29Stanford University3.1514.6%1st Place
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9.26Boston College2.205.2%1st Place
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9.8Fordham University1.984.5%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.3%1st Place
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11.56University of South Florida1.602.9%1st Place
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5.63Yale University2.7312.6%1st Place
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13.75University of Texas1.011.7%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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12.0North Carolina State University1.572.4%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
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8.1College of Charleston2.496.4%1st Place
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10.39University of Miami2.322.9%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University1.593.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Jack Egan | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 26.5% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.