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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.14+1.26vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79-0.91vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.09vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32+1.28vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.71-1.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.48vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Cornell University2.3836.8%1st Place
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4.33University of Pennsylvania1.169.5%1st Place
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4.26Cornell University1.1410.3%1st Place
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3.09Cornell University1.7921.6%1st Place
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5.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.3%1st Place
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7.28Princeton University-0.321.7%1st Place
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5.17Fordham University0.717.1%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.9%1st Place
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7.96SUNY Maritime College-1.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Bridget Green | 36.8% | 26.9% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
Sophia Devling | 21.6% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
Carly Mraz | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 32.9% | 30.3% |
Lizzie Cochran | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 5.0% |
Eva Leggett | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 20.1% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.