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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+1.16vs Predicted
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2American University-1.07+2.42vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.48-0.50vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.66-0.07vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.66-1.07vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.21-3.04vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Christopher Newport University0.850.4%1st Place
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4.42American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.5Hampton University0.480.3%1st Place
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3.93Virginia Tech-0.660.1%1st Place
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3.93Virginia Tech-0.660.1%1st Place
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2.96William and Mary0.210.2%1st Place
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5.03Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 37.7% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 5.0% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 29.1% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 27.4% | 25.9% | 24.6% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Langdon | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 25.7% | 26.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Langdon | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 25.7% | 26.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 18.3% | 23.4% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 22.5% | 51.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.