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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.26+2.09vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81-0.10vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.06-0.19vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.26-0.91vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.14-2.04vs Predicted
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6American University-2.12-0.88vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.08-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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1.9Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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2.81William and Mary-0.060.2%1st Place
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3.09Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.96Christopher Newport University-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.12American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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5.12Catholic University of America-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Diaz | 15.2% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 27.4% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 47.1% | 27.9% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 19.2% | 24.1% | 24.2% | 23.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 15.2% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 27.4% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 15.0% | 21.3% | 29.1% | 22.7% | 10.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 34.6% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
| Jane Pilato | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 10.5% | 33.9% | 46.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.