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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-2.08+2.68vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.14+0.33vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.26-0.56vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.26-1.56vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Catholic University of America-2.080.0%1st Place
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2.33Christopher Newport University-0.140.2%1st Place
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2.44Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.44Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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1.55Hampton University0.810.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jane Pilato | 2.6% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 79.0% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 20.0% | 35.6% | 35.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 18.8% | 29.8% | 40.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 18.8% | 29.8% | 40.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 58.6% | 28.6% | 11.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.