Race 1A

neisa-fundamental-symposium

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Porter Bell 15.3% 16.4% 16.1% 14.7% 15.7% 12.4% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 12.2% 11.4% 14.6% 13.4% 15.0% 14.3% 11.3% 5.6% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Pohl 21.4% 21.7% 17.6% 15.2% 10.4% 7.9% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Clark Morris 21.7% 19.7% 17.3% 16.2% 11.8% 6.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Cabot 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 7.6% 10.1% 13.4% 20.3% 19.0% 10.5% 2.9% 0.0%
Stefano Chiampo 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 4.5% 3.6% 7.5% 12.2% 21.6% 27.7% 15.1% 2.1%
Peter Taboada 11.6% 11.9% 11.4% 13.2% 14.2% 15.3% 12.6% 7.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Blake Vogel 8.9% 9.5% 11.9% 11.0% 14.2% 15.9% 13.8% 10.1% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Henry Poynter 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 9.8% 21.2% 28.7% 20.2% 4.5%
Jack Sullivan 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 4.0% 8.2% 17.3% 47.7% 16.5%
Charlotte Maffie 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 2.0% 5.9% 13.2% 76.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.