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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.09vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30+0.65vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.02+2.22vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-0.34vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.67vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.57+0.13vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.01-1.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Fordham University1.9822.4%1st Place
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3.09University of Pennsylvania1.7722.1%1st Place
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3.65Webb Institute1.3015.5%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Maritime College-0.023.8%1st Place
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4.66Cornell University0.938.6%1st Place
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3.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7720.1%1st Place
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7.13Princeton University-0.572.4%1st Place
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6.22Hamilton College0.013.5%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 22.4% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 22.1% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 15.5% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 12.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 20.1% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Roberts | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 24.6% | 30.2% |
| Michael Stewart | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 13.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 25.2% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.