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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.81+2.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.77+1.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.89+0.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.62-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.09+0.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.15-1.00vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-0.37-1.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.82-1.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-0.48vs Predicted
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11Bates College-3.91-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Tufts University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.92Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University0.890.2%1st Place
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2.5Tufts University1.620.3%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University0.150.1%1st Place
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5.99Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.73Bates College-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annecy Kagan | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 12.9% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 15.4% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 31.9% | 26.0% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Salvatore | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 21.3% | 22.5% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Schwab | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 32.0% | 15.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Houde | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 59.2% | 15.3% |
| Owen Ferguson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 12.1% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.