← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ella Hubbard 36.4% 23.0% 15.9% 12.3% 7.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Versavel 14.8% 17.6% 17.4% 15.3% 14.4% 10.7% 7.1% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 13.8% 13.8% 15.4% 15.1% 17.7% 12.6% 7.8% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Wilkinson 3.0% 5.3% 6.8% 8.8% 10.9% 15.7% 20.0% 22.5% 6.2% 0.8%
Jack Schwab 3.4% 3.7% 5.6% 6.1% 6.6% 9.8% 15.5% 33.4% 14.5% 1.4%
Michael Salvatore 9.0% 8.8% 10.1% 11.2% 14.9% 16.0% 16.9% 9.9% 3.2% 0.0%
Annecy Kagan 12.4% 17.4% 17.1% 17.9% 13.1% 12.0% 7.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Spencer Asofsky 6.4% 9.3% 10.6% 12.0% 13.4% 16.8% 16.3% 12.2% 3.0% 0.0%
Robert Houde 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 3.1% 5.4% 10.8% 60.3% 14.7%
Owen Ferguson 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.6% 2.2% 12.1% 83.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.