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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+1.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.89+1.71vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.77+0.97vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.37+2.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.82+1.64vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.15-1.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.81-3.19vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.09-2.89vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-0.48vs Predicted
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11Bates College-3.91-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Tufts University1.620.4%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.97Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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6.02Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University0.150.1%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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9.73Bates College-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 36.4% | 23.0% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 14.8% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 13.8% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 22.5% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Schwab | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 33.4% | 14.5% | 1.4% |
| Michael Salvatore | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 12.4% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Houde | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 60.3% | 14.7% |
| Owen Ferguson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 12.1% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.