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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+5.67vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+7.19vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+7.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.32vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+7.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28+1.03vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44+2.94vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-3.16vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-3.81vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-3.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-3.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.71-3.06vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.29-6.09vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.52-0.31vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.70-10.30vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.87Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.94Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.19Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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14.69Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 6.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 13.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 64.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.