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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+5.88vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.79vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+3.94vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+7.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.29vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16+2.69vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-3.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+0.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.39vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-6.04vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-4.13vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.71-6.11vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.52-1.26vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.33-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.79Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.99Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.69Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.24Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.61Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.74Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 24.5% | 12.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 68.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.