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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+4.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+3.98vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+5.45vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+4.94vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-0.69vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-0.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-1.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.44vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-0.10vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-2.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-5.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-4.32vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.52-1.28vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.31Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.56Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.84Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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14.72Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 12.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 6.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Celia Houston | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 5.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 66.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.