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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+9.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+6.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+3.15vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+0.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+0.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+3.78vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.57vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-0.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.29-4.02vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-0.05vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-8.04vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-5.82vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.52-0.30vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.71-6.92vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.43Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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4.96Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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14.7Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.98Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Celia Houston | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 13.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 64.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.