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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+4.90vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+6.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.07vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+0.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+4.78vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.33vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.76+2.93vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.71-1.89vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.28-5.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.78vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-3.21vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.33-8.35vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.82-10.72vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.52-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.65Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.79Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 6.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 12.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 5.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.