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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.27vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.14+2.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.28vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.02vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79-2.85vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32+0.34vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-1.22-0.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Cornell University2.3837.4%1st Place
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4.28Cornell University1.1410.4%1st Place
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5.17Fordham University0.716.7%1st Place
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.1611.2%1st Place
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4.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.8%1st Place
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3.15Cornell University1.7920.0%1st Place
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7.34Princeton University-0.320.9%1st Place
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7.93SUNY Maritime College-1.220.9%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Bridget Green | 37.4% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Elizabeth Starck | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
Sophia Devling | 20.0% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 31.1% | 31.1% |
Eva Leggett | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 21.9% | 56.0% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.