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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+8.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.94vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+2.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+7.03vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+4.88vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.28-3.06vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-5.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-1.32vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.33-6.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-5.01vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.52-0.32vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.30-8.98vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-9.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.73Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.61Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.88Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.68Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 13.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 6.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 6.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 64.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.