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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+9.78vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.72+9.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+0.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+1.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+2.60vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91-1.64vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+1.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.49vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.07-2.18vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.19vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+2.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.95-2.18vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.72vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.10-1.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-5.60vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.67-4.99vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.76-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.78Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.97Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.88Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.51Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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4.36Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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14.01University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.82Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.65Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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12.01Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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17.03Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 1.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.8% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 24.8% | 10.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 6.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 2.0% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.