← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.91+3.47vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.31+6.91vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.46+1.53vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.07+1.85vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.47-0.42vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University0.95+3.92vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.36vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont0.08+4.82vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.84-2.11vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.49-1.94vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.11-1.41vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.72-1.40vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.67-2.39vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.02-4.37vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.49vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University0.10-3.27vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-1.76-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
3.88Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
9.91Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
5.53Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
6.85Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
5.58Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.92Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
13.82University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.06Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
10.59Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.6Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.61Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
-
10.63Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
13.73Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
17.05Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.6% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 8.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 24.6% | 7.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 9.0% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.