← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.12+2.92vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College1.11+8.54vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.07+4.13vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+4.32vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.91-0.74vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.49+2.90vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.47-1.46vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.31+1.49vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont0.08+4.78vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.72+1.90vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.46-5.29vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University0.95-0.73vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.02-2.47vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.67-2.33vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.55vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.84-8.27vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University0.10-3.20vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-1.76-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.92Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
10.54Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
7.13Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
4.26Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
8.9Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
5.54Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.49Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.78University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.9Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.71Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
11.27Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
10.53Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
11.67Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
-
9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.73University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
13.8Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
17.06Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.8% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 19.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.4% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 24.1% | 7.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 24.3% | 7.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.