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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+2.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+2.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+8.00vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+1.58vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.07+1.88vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.67+6.01vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+0.74vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+2.97vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+2.04vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.46-5.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.54vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.10-0.44vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.11-4.64vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.49-6.87vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-4.50vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.76-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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4.43Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.01Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.97Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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12.04Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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13.56Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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17.09Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.6% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 3.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 2.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 23.3% | 8.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 4.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 9.5% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.