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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+2.12vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+2.70vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30+0.65vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.91vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.01+0.27vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.73vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57-0.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Fordham University1.9821.3%1st Place
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4.7Cornell University0.938.5%1st Place
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3.65Webb Institute1.3016.4%1st Place
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3.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7720.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Pennsylvania1.7723.6%1st Place
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6.27Hamilton College0.013.4%1st Place
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6.27SUNY Maritime College-0.023.3%1st Place
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7.18Princeton University-0.571.9%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jacob Zils | 21.3% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Boris Bialer | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
Everett Botwinick | 16.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 20.0% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Sofia Segalla | 23.6% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Michael Stewart | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 12.8% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 13.4% |
William Roberts | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 31.1% |
Oscar Gilroy | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.