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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+1.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+2.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+6.66vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+5.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46-0.31vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.07-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-0.43vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.03vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95+0.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57+0.63vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-4.05vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.10-0.38vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-3.19vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.37vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.76+0.21vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.67-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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3.92Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.69Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.97Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.2Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.62Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.81Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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17.21Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.3% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 4.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 25.2% | 7.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 79.3% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.