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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+9.97vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+3.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+1.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+1.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+4.64vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-2.17vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.95+4.06vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.33vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+2.83vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.07-2.81vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57+1.45vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.11-1.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.71vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.76+2.23vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.67-3.94vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.49-7.86vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.10-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.97Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.43Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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3.83Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.83Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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17.23Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.68Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.6% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.0% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 4.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 80.2% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 2.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 24.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.