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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.14+2.21vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38-0.65vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.67vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32+1.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.45vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.06vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Cornell University1.7921.8%1st Place
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4.21Cornell University1.1412.0%1st Place
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2.35Cornell University2.3834.3%1st Place
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5.21Fordham University0.715.9%1st Place
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4.33University of Pennsylvania1.1610.3%1st Place
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7.3Princeton University-0.321.8%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.0%1st Place
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4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.918.0%1st Place
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7.96SUNY Maritime College-1.221.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Sophia Devling | 21.8% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Ava Gustafson | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
Bridget Green | 34.3% | 28.1% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
Adra Ivancich | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
Carly Mraz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
Elizabeth Starck | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
Eva Leggett | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 21.6% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.