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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.24+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.24+0.62vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97-1.40vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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3.61Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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2.6Florida State University1.970.3%1st Place
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3.03Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 7.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 34.8% |
| Brent Penwarden | 14.7% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 16.5% |
| Zachary Ward | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 15.7% |
| Joey Meagher | 29.7% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 22.6% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.