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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+1.95vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+0.58vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.24+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.24-0.37vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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2.58Florida State University1.970.3%1st Place
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3.66Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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4.38Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 22.5% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 30.9% | 24.0% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Brent Penwarden | 13.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 16.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 15.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 35.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 12.4% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.