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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.34vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+0.91vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.97-0.44vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.13-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.24-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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2.91Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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2.56Florida State University1.970.3%1st Place
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3.64Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 34.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 24.3% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 29.6% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Brent Penwarden | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 15.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| Zachary Ward | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.