Race 1A

women-president

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Maggie Shea 13.1% 11.7% 11.7% 11.2% 9.1% 8.9% 6.7% 6.8% 6.0% 4.9% 3.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Claire Dennis 9.6% 12.0% 10.5% 10.1% 7.9% 9.4% 7.7% 7.8% 6.5% 5.2% 5.0% 3.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Natalie Salk 10.5% 10.3% 10.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.5% 7.6% 8.4% 7.8% 6.8% 4.0% 3.5% 2.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Jennifer Adler 11.5% 11.8% 8.1% 10.9% 8.1% 6.9% 8.8% 7.3% 6.2% 7.2% 5.1% 3.6% 2.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Phoebe Sprague 4.7% 4.3% 5.6% 3.8% 5.7% 5.1% 6.8% 5.7% 7.0% 7.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.8% 8.6% 7.2%
Chandler Salisbury 7.4% 8.4% 6.7% 7.0% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 10.2% 6.9% 7.7% 6.5% 5.4% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2%
Lara Dallman-Weiss 5.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 6.1% 6.5% 5.6% 7.2% 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 7.7%
Chanel Miller 6.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.3% 6.3% 9.2% 7.4% 7.9% 8.1% 6.7% 4.3% 2.6%
Krysta Rohde 7.6% 8.1% 8.5% 9.2% 9.7% 8.6% 8.0% 7.5% 6.2% 8.2% 6.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9%
Amanda Johnson 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 5.1% 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.1% 7.6% 9.0% 9.4% 8.0% 7.4% 4.9%
Jamie Curran 2.6% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 6.6% 7.6% 9.2% 9.6% 15.6% 18.1%
Lauren Turner 8.2% 7.6% 8.9% 8.9% 8.4% 7.4% 8.3% 7.3% 8.3% 7.5% 5.6% 5.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Allison Prange 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9% 6.6% 11.4% 16.2% 34.4%
Mia Cooper 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 5.2% 4.0% 6.2% 4.9% 7.2% 8.3% 12.9% 16.8% 16.4%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.9% 5.3% 5.6% 4.5% 5.9% 7.2% 4.9% 7.8% 7.1% 6.0% 8.9% 10.7% 8.3% 8.0% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.