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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.38vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.09vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30-0.48vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-0.27vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.51vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57-0.87vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.01-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7718.5%1st Place
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3.17Fordham University1.9820.8%1st Place
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3.09University of Pennsylvania1.7723.5%1st Place
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3.52Webb Institute1.3017.8%1st Place
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4.73Cornell University0.938.3%1st Place
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6.28SUNY Maritime College-0.023.5%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.9%1st Place
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7.13Princeton University-0.572.5%1st Place
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6.19Hamilton College0.013.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.5% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 20.8% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 23.5% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 17.8% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Boris Bialer | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 12.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 42.5% |
| William Roberts | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 26.7% | 29.9% |
| Michael Stewart | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.