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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+1.12vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.52vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+0.28vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97-1.09vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.24-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Miami2.660.4%1st Place
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4.52Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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3.28Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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2.91Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.04Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.13University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 41.2% | 27.9% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 38.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 15.5% | 18.8% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 7.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 20.7% | 22.2% | 22.8% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Brent Penwarden | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 22.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 23.6% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.