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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+7.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+3.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.86vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+1.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.22vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.53-0.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+1.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota1.75+1.86vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.16vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-6.24vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.11-3.30vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.60-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.5Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.96Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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6.76Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.12Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Adler | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Allison Prange | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 33.7% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 18.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.