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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.17+1.41vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.25+2.07vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.61+0.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.01-1.87vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Dartmouth College1.1732.1%1st Place
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4.07Boston University0.2510.7%1st Place
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2.56Salve Regina University0.4629.3%1st Place
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5.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.525.7%1st Place
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5.1University of New Hampshire-0.615.2%1st Place
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4.13Northeastern University0.0111.2%1st Place
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6.01Bentley University-1.103.6%1st Place
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6.67University of New Hampshire-1.542.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Charlotte West | 32.1% | 27.3% | 20.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Richard Kalich | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
Emil Tullberg | 29.3% | 25.4% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Marshall Rodes | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 8.4% |
James Frady | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 10.6% |
Isabella Cho | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
Wilfred Hynes | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 25.6% | 26.1% |
Kathleen Hanson | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 20.5% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.