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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.08+2.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+0.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.56-0.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.05-0.69vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.84+0.16vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Tufts University1.0817.6%1st Place
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2.18Dartmouth College1.7138.0%1st Place
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2.68Boston College1.5623.2%1st Place
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3.31Bowdoin College0.0513.5%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University-0.842.4%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.185.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Keeves | 17.6% | 21.1% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 12.4% | 3.2% |
| bella casaretto | 38.0% | 26.9% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Nick Budington | 23.2% | 25.4% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 13.5% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 27.2% | 17.0% | 5.0% |
| Christina Chen | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 23.2% | 56.5% |
| Lucas Escandon | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 35.4% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.