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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+5.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+4.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+5.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+2.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+1.72vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.60+2.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.58vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.75+0.80vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.79-3.27vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-4.09vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.53-8.14vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.34Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.54Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.13Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Allison Prange | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 34.6% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.